NBA Best Bets: Mavericks vs. Hornets Picks for February 27

Published 10:33 pm Wednesday, February 26, 2025

The Dallas Mavericks (31-28) are heavy favorites (-10.5) as they look to continue a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Charlotte Hornets (14-43) on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at American Airlines Center. The contest airs at 8:30 p.m. ET on KFAA and FDSSE.

Why don’t you take a look at the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Thursday’s game, before you make a wager on this matchup?

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Mavericks vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Thursday, February 27, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: KFAA and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mavericks vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Kyrie Irving Over 28.5 PTS

  • Kyrie Irving has recorded 24.9 points per game in the 2024-25 season, 3.6 points less than Thursday’s points prop total.
  • So far this season, Irving is 25-for-46 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
  • The Mavericks are the NBA’s 11th-ranked scoring team (115.1 points per game), while the Hornets are 13th defensively in terms of points conceded per game (112.9).
  • When Dallas scores more than 112.9 points, its record is 23-12.

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • Thursday’s prop bet for LaMelo Ball is 23.5 points, 2.8 fewer than his season average.
  • Ball has hit the over on his points prop on 16 occasions this season (in 35 games with such a prop).
  • Charlotte is the NBA’s 28th-ranked team offensively (105.4 points per game), while Dallas is 16th-ranked on defense (113.4 conceded).
  • Charlotte has put together an 8-8 record when it scores more than 113.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Mavericks (- 10.5)

  • Dallas has beaten the spread 32 times in 59 games.
  • Charlotte has beaten the spread 28 times in 57 games.
  • The Mavericks’ ATS record as 10.5-point favorites or more is 6-1.
  • The Hornets’ ATS record as 10.5-point underdogs or more is 12-7.

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Pick OU:

Over (221.5)

  • In 36 games this season, the Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 221.5 total points.
  • The Hornets have played 22 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 221.5 points.
  • Dallas’ games this year have an average point total of 228.2, 6.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Charlotte’s matchups this season have a 222.7-point average over/under, 1.2 fewer points than this game’s total.
  • The Mavericks score the ninth-most points in the league this season, while the Hornets’ offense racks up the 30th-most.
  • This outing features the league’s 10th-ranked (Hornets) and 19th-ranked (Mavericks) scoring defenses.

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Moneyline Pick: Mavericks (-450)

  • The Mavericks have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 19 (67.9%) of those contests.
  • The Hornets have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (24%) in those contests.
  • Dallas has been at least a -450 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won all of those games.
  • This season, Charlotte has come away with a win two times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +350 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mavericks have a 81.8% chance to win.

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